Does use of Premarin cream increase risk of cancer or blood clots like other oral estrogen products?

Comment by InpharmD Researcher

In 2025, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) requested removal of systemic boxed warning language from local vaginal estrogen product labeling following a reassessment of the applicability of oral estrogen safety data to local vaginal formulations; however, Premarin Vaginal Cream (conjugated estrogens cream) labeling has not yet been updated. Supporting this, professional guidelines report no evidence of increased breast cancer, endometrial cancer, or venous thromboembolism with low-dose vaginal estrogen, including vaginal creams, whereas oral estrogen is associated with established thromboembolic and endometrial risks. Furthermore, evidence from systematic reviews and large observational cohorts generally found no increased cancer or venous thromboembolism risk among vaginal estrogen users, although most studies evaluated vaginal estrogen products collectively rather than Premarin cream specifically. Overall, available evidence suggests a low risk of cancer and thromboembolic events with low-dose vaginal estrogen, in contrast to the established risks associated with oral estrogen; however, this conclusion is based primarily on separate bodies of evidence rather than direct comparative studies, and Premarin cream-specific long-term safety data remain limited.
Background

In 2025, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) requested labeling changes for menopausal hormone therapies (MHTs) following a comprehensive review of literature published since the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) trials, updated drug utilization data, expert panel input, and public comments. The FDA noted that the original WHI studies enrolled predominantly older postmenopausal women (average age 63 years; dementia studies enrolled women 65–79 years), whereas MHT is typically initiated in younger women (approximately 45–55 years) for menopausal symptoms, prompting a reassessment of the applicability of the original boxed warnings. The FDA requested removal of boxed warning language regarding cardiovascular disease, breast cancer, and probable dementia for all MHTs, including local vaginal estrogen products, and requested that labeling for local vaginal estrogen products be condensed to emphasize safety information most relevant to the local vaginal formulation. Updated prescribing information has been approved for selected MHT products (Prometrium, Divigel, Cenestin, Enjuvia, Estring, and Bijuva). Premarin Vaginal Cream is not currently included among the products listed by the FDA as having updated prescribing information. [1]

Several professional guidelines address the safety of local low-dose vaginal estrogen, including vaginal estrogen cream. The 2025 American Urological Association (AUA), Society of Urodynamics, Female Pelvic Medicine and Urogenital Reconstruction (SUFU), and American Urogynecologic Society (AUGS) guideline recommends local low-dose vaginal estrogen as an effective treatment for genitourinary syndrome of menopause (GSM) and states that there is no evidence linking local low-dose vaginal estrogen to the development of breast cancer. The guideline cites evidence demonstrating no increased risk of breast cancer, stroke, endometrial cancer, colorectal cancer, or venous thromboembolism among users of local vaginal estrogen and notes that a 2019 systematic review found no increased risk of endometrial hyperplasia or endometrial cancer with low-dose vaginal estrogen without progestogen. The 2021 American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) Clinical Consensus similarly states that, after failure of nonhormonal therapy, low-dose vaginal estrogen, including comparable low-dose vaginal estrogen creams, may be used following shared decision-making, including in selected individuals with a history of breast cancer, and notes that no evidence indicates harm from these local treatments; available studies generally demonstrated transient or no increases in serum estradiol and did not identify increased breast cancer recurrence. The 2022 North American Menopause Society (NAMS) Position Statement states that, unlike unopposed systemic estrogen therapy, low-dose vaginal estrogen does not appear to increase endometrial cancer risk and therefore routine progestogen is not recommended for women using low-dose vaginal estrogen for GSM. The position statement also notes that vaginal estrogen has not been associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. Finally, a ACOG Committee Opinion states that topical vaginal estrogen creams and tablets have low systemic absorption and no detectable effect on coagulation proteins or the incidence of venous thromboembolism, whereas orally administered estrogen is associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism. Overall, these recommendations primarily apply to low-dose vaginal estrogen products and generally do not distinguish among individual formulations. [2], [3], [4], [5]

A 2020 systematic review evaluated the comparative safety of U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved vaginal estrogen preparations by reviewing 75 clinical trials in postmenopausal women, including studies of vaginal conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) cream. None of the included trials were designed or powered to evaluate breast cancer, endometrial cancer, cardiovascular events, venous thromboembolism, or all-cause mortality as primary outcomes, and the available data were insufficient to exclude an increased risk of endometrial cancer with long-term vaginal estrogen use. Compared with vaginal inserts, tablets, and rings, vaginal estrogen creams, including CEE cream, were associated with greater systemic hormone absorption and higher short-term increases in circulating estradiol and estrone; however, these hormonal changes did not clearly result in endometrial proliferation. Although some studies reported more frequent endometrial thickening or proliferative endometrium with higher-dose CEE cream regimens than with vaginal tablets or rings, these regimens exceeded doses commonly used in clinical practice, statistical comparisons were often lacking, and placebo-controlled trials did not demonstrate significant increases in endometrial thickness or hyperplasia through 52 weeks. Overall, the review concluded that evidence supporting the endometrial safety of vaginal estrogen is limited to studies of up to 52 weeks and that additional long-term studies are needed. [6]

A 2019 systematic review evaluated the endometrial safety of low-dose, unopposed vaginal estrogens by reviewing 20 randomized controlled trials, 8 interventional studies, and 10 observational studies. Overall, the available evidence did not support an increased risk of endometrial hyperplasia or endometrial cancer with low-dose vaginal estrogens, with rates of endometrial cancer and hyperplasia of 0.03% and 0.4%, respectively, across 20 randomized trials involving 2,983 women. Among studies of vaginal CEE cream, reports of endometrial hyperplasia were primarily observed with higher-dose 1.25 mg CEE regimens, particularly cyclic 21-day-on/7-day-off dosing, whereas a 12-month randomized trial of 0.3 mg CEE cream reported no cases of endometrial hyperplasia or endometrial cancer. Observational data, including a WHI study, did not identify an association between vaginal estrogen use and endometrial cancer, although one Danish registry study reported an association that the authors noted may have limited applicability to U.S. practice. Overall, the authors concluded that longer-term data are needed to further confirm the endometrial safety profile of vaginal estrogens. [7]

Background References: [1] U.S. Food and Drug Administration. FDA Requests Labeling Changes Related to Safety Information to Clarify the Benefit/Risk Considerations for Menopausal Hormone Therapies. Updated February 12, 2026. Accessed August 4, 2026. https://www.fda.gov/drugs/drug-alerts-and-statements/fda-requests-labeling-changes-related-safety-information-clarify-benefitrisk-considerations
[2] Kaufman MR, Ackerman AL, Amin KA, et al. The AUA/SUFU/AUGS Guideline on Genitourinary Syndrome of Menopause. J Urol. 2025;214(3):242-250. doi:10.1097/JU.0000000000004589
[3] Treatment of Urogenital Symptoms in Individuals With a History of Estrogen-dependent Breast Cancer: Clinical Consensus. Obstet Gynecol. 2021;138(6):950-960. doi:10.1097/AOG.0000000000004601
[4] ACOG committee opinion no. 556: Postmenopausal estrogen therapy: route of administration and risk of venous thromboembolism. Obstet Gynecol. 2013;121(4):887-890. doi:10.1097/01.AOG.0000428645.90795.d9
[5] “The 2022 Hormone Therapy Position Statement of The North American Menopause Society” Advisory Panel. The 2022 hormone therapy position statement of The North American Menopause Society. Menopause. 2022;29(7):767-794. doi:10.1097/GME.0000000000002028
[6] Crandall CJ, Diamant A, Santoro N. Safety of vaginal estrogens: a systematic review. Menopause. 2020;27(3):339-360. doi:10.1097/GME.0000000000001468
[7] Constantine GD, Graham S, Lapane K, et al. Endometrial safety of low-dose vaginal estrogens in menopausal women: a systematic evidence review. Menopause. 2019;26(7):800-807. doi:10.1097/GME.0000000000001315
Relevant Prescribing Information

Boxed Warning: Estrogen-Alone Therapy [8]
Endometrial Cancer
There is an increased risk of endometrial cancer in a woman with a uterus who uses unopposed estrogens. Adding a progestin to estrogen therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of endometrial hyperplasia, which may be a precursor to endometrial cancer. Adequate diagnostic measures, including directed or random endometrial sampling when indicated, should be undertaken to rule out malignancy in postmenopausal women with undiagnosed persistent or recurring abnormal genital bleeding.

Cardiovascular Disorders and Probable Dementia
Estrogen-alone therapy should not be used for the prevention of cardiovascular disease or dementia.
The Women's Health Initiative (WHI) estrogen-alone substudy reported increased risks of stroke and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in postmenopausal women (50 to 79 years of age) during 7.1 years of treatment with daily oral conjugated estrogens (CE) (0.625 mg)-alone, relative to placebo.

The WHI Memory Study (WHIMS) estrogen-alone ancillary study of WHI reported an increased risk of developing probable dementia in postmenopausal women 65 years of age or older during 5.2 years of treatment with daily CE (0.625 mg)-alone, relative to placebo. It is unknown whether this finding applies to younger postmenopausal women.

In the absence of comparable data, these risks should be assumed to be similar for other doses of CE and other dosage forms of estrogens.

Estrogens with or without progestins should be prescribed at the lowest effective doses and for the shortest duration consistent with treatment goals and risks for the individual woman.

Warnings and Precautions [8]
Risks from Systemic Absorption
Systemic absorption occurs with the use of PREMARIN vaginal cream. The warnings, precautions, and adverse reactions associated with oral PREMARIN treatment should be taken into account.

Relevant Prescribing Information References: [8] Premarin Vaginal (conjugated estrogens cream). Prescribing information.Wyeth Pharmaceuticals LLC, a subsidiary of Pfizer Inc.; 2025.
Literature Review

A search of the published medical literature revealed 2 studies investigating the researchable question:

Does use of Premarin cream increase risk of cancer or blood clots like other oral estrogen products?

Level of evidence

C - Multiple studies with limitations or conflicting results  Read more→



Please see Tables 1-2 for your response.


Breast cancer, endometrial cancer, and cardiovascular events in participants who used vaginal estrogen in the Women’s Health Initiative Observational Study

Design

Prospective observational cohort study

N= 45,663

Objective

To determine the association between use of vaginal estrogen and risk of a global index event (GIE), defined as time to first occurrence of coronary heart disease (CHD), invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism, hip fracture, colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer, or death from any cause

Study Groups

No vaginal estrogen (n= 41,563)

Vaginal estrogen (n= 4,100)

Inclusion Criteria

Postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 years at baseline

Exclusion Criteria

Women with prior breast, endometrial, or ovarian cancer; missing hysterectomy status; current users of systemic estrogen or progestogen therapy during follow-up; missing hormone therapy use data; no follow-up data

Methods

Data from the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study were used. Vaginal estrogen use was assessed by self-reported questionnaires throughout follow-up; however, information on the specific vaginal estrogen formulation (cream vs tablet) and dose was not collected.

Duration

Median follow-up 7.2 years

Outcome Measures

Global index event (GIE) defined as time to first occurrence of CHD, invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism, hip fracture, colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer, or death; individual risks of CHD, invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism, hip fracture, colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer, or death

Baseline Characteristics  

No vaginal estrogen (n= 41,563)

Vaginal estrogen (n= 4,100)
Age, years

64.8 ± 7.4

65.5 ± 7.0

BMI, kg/m2  28.0 ± 6.3

26.5 ± 5.2

Current smoker

7.4%

3.6%

Diabetes treated (pills or shots)

5.5% 3.0%

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index.

Baseline frequencies of other cardiovascular risk factors, prior cardiovascular events, and previous cancer diagnoses were similar between users and nonusers.

Results  

No vaginal estrogen (n= 41,563)

Rate/1000 person-y

Vaginal estrogen (n= 4,100)

Rate/1000 person-y

GIE 5,906 (21.0) 153 (14.0)
Invasive breast cancer 1,185 (4.1) 40 (3.6)
Death 2,592 (8.7) 59 (5.3)
CHD 1,311 (4.5) 20 (1.8)
Stroke 902 (3.1) 20 (1.8)
Colorectal cancer 486 (1.6) 13 (1.2)
Hip fracture 582 (2.0) 10 (0.9)
PE/DVT 600 (2.0) 12 (1.1)

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; PE, pulmonary embolism.

After a mean follow-up of 6.4 years (median 7.2 years), adjusted analyses showed that vaginal estrogen users had risks of invasive breast cancer, stroke, colorectal cancer, death, and venous thromboembolism that were similar to those of nonusers. Compared with nonusers, vaginal estrogen users had a lower risk of coronary heart disease (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.52; 95% CI 0.31-0.85), hip fracture (aHR 0.40; 95% CI 0.19-0.85), and the global index event (aHR 0.76; 95% CI 0.64-0.91).

When stratified by hysterectomy status, risks of invasive breast cancer, stroke, colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer, and venous thromboembolism remained similar between vaginal estrogen users and nonusers. Among women with a prior hysterectomy, no significant differences were observed for the global index event or its individual components, whereas among women with an intact uterus, vaginal estrogen users had lower risks of the global index event (aHR 0.68; 95% CI 0.55-0.86), death (aHR 0.62; 95% CI 0.41-0.93), coronary heart disease (aHR 0.39; 95% CI 0.19-0.78), and hip fracture (aHR 0.40; 95% CI 0.16-0.96).

Adverse Events

See above.

Study Author Conclusions

In conclusion, we did not observe an increased risk of cardiovascular disease or cancer among women using vaginal estrogen compared to non-users. These findings should provide reassurance to women and their health providers regarding the safety of vaginal estrogen and will help to inform menopausal hormone therapy clinical decision-making.

Critique

The study's large prospective design and adjustment for multiple potential confounders are strengths. However, as an observational study, residual confounding cannot be excluded. Additionally, the study did not collect information on the specific vaginal estrogen formulation (eg, cream vs tablet) or dose, precluding product-specific analyses, including for conjugated estrogen vaginal cream.

Table 1 References:
[9] Crandall CJ, Hovey KM, Andrews CA, et al. Breast cancer, endometrial cancer, and cardiovascular events in participants who used vaginal estrogen in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study. Menopause. 2018;25(1):11-20. doi:10.1097/GME.0000000000000956

Vaginal estrogen use and chronic disease risk in the Nurses’ Health Study

Design

Prospective cohort study

N= 53,797

Objective

To examine the associations between vaginal estrogen use and multiple health outcomes including cardiovascular disease, cancer, and hip fracture

Study Groups

Vaginal estrogen users (n= 896)

Nonusers (n= 52,901)

Inclusion Criteria

Postmenopausal women from the Nurses’ Health Study (1982-2012)

Exclusion Criteria

Current users of systemic hormone therapy at the time of study enrollment; women with previously diagnosed cancer (except nonmelanoma skin cancer); participants with self-reported cardiovascular disease for cardiovascular outcomes

Methods

Vaginal estrogen use was self-reported and analyzed as a time-varying exposure; however, information on dose and specific vaginal estrogen formulation (eg, cream, ring, tablet, or suppository) was not collected.

Duration

1982 to 2012

Outcome Measures Risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and hip fracture, associations by hysterectomy status
Baseline Characteristics  

Nonusers (n= 52,901)

Vaginal estrogen users (n= 896)
Age, years 54.4 ± 3.9

54.8 ± 4.0

White 97%

98%

Body mass index, kg/m2

25.9 ± 5.2

24.2 ± 4.1

Smoking - Never

43% 49%

Smoking - Past

31% 36%

Smoking - Current

27% 15%
Physical activity, MET-h/wk

14.9 ± 21.3

15.2 ± 17.4

Bilateral oophorectomy

11% 16%

Hysterectomy

22% 32%

History of past systemic hormone therapy use

19% 47%

Abbreviations: MET, metabolic equivalent task.

Results   Nonusers (n= 52,901)

Vaginal estrogen users (n= 896)

Age-adjusted model Multivariable adjusted model 1 Multivariable adjusted model 2
Total MI 1,339 20 0.56 (0.36-0.87) 0.71 (0.45-1.10) 0.73 (0.47-1.13)
Stroke 1,188 22 0.71 (0.47-1.09) 0.82 (0.54-1.25) 0.85 (0.56-1.29)
PE/DVT 524 11 0.88 (0.48-1.60) 1.05 (0.58-1.92) 1.06 (0.58-1.93)
All cancer types 5,444 139 0.97 (0.82-1.15) 1.05 (0.89-1.25) 1.05 (0.89-1.25)
Invasive breast cancer 1,570 40 1.06 (0.77-1.44) 1.13 (0.82-1.55) 1.07 (0.78-1.47)
Ovarian cancer 202 6 1.12 (0.50-2.54) 1.17 (0.52-2.66) 1.17 (0.52-2.65)
Endometrial cancer 344 11 1.30 (0.71-2.38) 1.62 (0.88-2.97) 1.62 (0.88-2.97)
Colorectal cancer 649 13 0.73 (0.42-1.27) 0.78 (0.45-1.35) 0.77 (0.45-1.34)
Hip fracture 1,055 23 0.88 (0.58-1.33) 0.88 (0.58-1.34) 0.91 (0.60-1.38)

Abbreviations: MI, myocardial infarction; PE/DVT, pulmonary embolism/deep vein thrombosis.

During a mean follow-up of 35.7 months of vaginal estrogen use, age-adjusted analyses showed a lower risk of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio [HR] 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.36-0.87) among vaginal estrogen users compared with nonusers, while no significant differences were observed for stroke, pulmonary embolism/deep vein thrombosis, total invasive cancer, invasive breast cancer, ovarian cancer, endometrial cancer, colorectal cancer, or hip fracture.

After multivariable adjustment, there were no statistically significant differences between vaginal estrogen users and nonusers for major cardiovascular outcomes (including myocardial infarction, stroke, and pulmonary embolism/deep vein thrombosis), cancer outcomes (including invasive breast, ovarian, endometrial, and colorectal cancer), or hip fracture.

Additional sensitivity analyses, including analyses of breast and endometrial cancer and stratification by hysterectomy status, yielded similar findings with no statistically significant differences in cardiovascular or cancer outcomes between groups.

Adverse Events

No statistically significant increase in risk of any health outcome was observed with vaginal estrogen use.

Study Author Conclusions

In conclusion, our data lend support to the safety of vaginal estrogen use, because no excess risk of cardiovascular disease or cancer was observed among women who self-reported use of various delivery systems and doses of vaginal estrogen. Our findings provide a comprehensive summary of the relationship between vaginal estrogen and multiple health outcomes and offer reassurance regarding the safety of low-dose vaginal estrogen to treat GSM.

Critique

The study's strengths include its large sample size, long follow-up period, and comprehensive adjustment for confounders. However, limitations include its observational design, the potential for residual confounding, the lack of information on the specific vaginal estrogen formulation (eg, cream, tablet, ring, or suppository) and dose, which precluded formulation-specific analyses, and the predominantly White study population, which may limit generalizability to other racial and ethnic groups.

Table 2 References:
[10] Bhupathiraju SN, Grodstein F, Stampfer MJ, et al. Vaginal estrogen use and chronic disease risk in the Nurses' Health Study. Menopause. 2018;26(6):603-610. doi:10.1097/GME.0000000000001284